Material · Thermal & Packaging · US KR JP CN
Silicon carbide substrate, 200 mm semi-insulating
A harder-than-silicon crystal used where power and heat are high, such as chargers, motors and radar.
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01Key numbers
Other · WorldSICC global share, N-type SiC substratesSource: SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) (2025)SourcedSICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) · 2025Open the source → %202512 (2023) → 27.6 (2025).How this is computedThe latest value in a series minus the value before it, divided by the earlier value, same series and unit.12 (2023) → 27.6 (2025).Method →Code → vs 2023
Conductive (N-type) and all-type SiC substrates. No dated figure was found for semi-insulating 200 mm substrates specifically.
SICC global share, N-type SiC substrates, %, 2023 to 2025. Every value is listed in the table below. Period Value Source 2025 Source: SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) (2026-03-24)SourcedSICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) · 2026-03-24Open the source → % SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) ↗ primary SICC’s global market share in the N- type S i C substrates rose sharply in 2025, surging from 12% in 2023 to 27.6% and surpassing Wolfspeed.
N-type (conductive), not semi-insulating2023 Source: SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) (2026-03-24)SourcedSICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) · 2026-03-24Open the source → % SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) ↗ primary SICC’s global market share in the N- type S i C substrates rose sharply in 2025, surging from 12% in 2023 to 27.6% and surpassing Wolfspeed.
N-type (conductive), not semi-insulatingRead from the sources Read from the source by an agent; quote matched mechanically against the fetched page; not yet reviewed by a person, 2026-09-24. Each value links the page it came from and quotes the sentence that carries it.
Other · WorldSICC global share, 8-inch (200 mm) SiC substratesSource: SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) (2025)SourcedSICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) · 2025Open the source → %2025
Conductive (N-type) and all-type SiC substrates. No dated figure was found for semi-insulating 200 mm substrates specifically.
Period Value Source 2025 Source: SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) (2026-03-24)SourcedSICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) · 2026-03-24Open the source → % SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) ↗ primary the company achieved a breakthrough in the 8-inch S iC substrate market, capturing a market share of 51.3%, far exceeding other competitors.
Company claim citing Fuji Keizai; context is N-type (conductive) substrates, NOT semi-insulatingRead from the sources Read from the source by an agent; quote matched mechanically against the fetched page; not yet reviewed by a person, 2026-09-24. Each value links the page it came from and quotes the sentence that carries it.
Other · WorldSICC global share, 6-inch (150 mm) SiC substratesSource: SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) (2025)SourcedSICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) · 2025Open the source → %2025
Conductive (N-type) and all-type SiC substrates. No dated figure was found for semi-insulating 200 mm substrates specifically.
Period Value Source 2025 Source: SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) (2026-03-24)SourcedSICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) · 2026-03-24Open the source → % SICC company news (citing Fuji Keizai) ↗ primary in 2025, SICC's global market share of 6-inch products reached 27.5%, surpassing Wolfspeed for the first time.
Company claim citing Fuji KeizaiRead from the sources Read from the source by an agent; quote matched mechanically against the fetched page; not yet reviewed by a person, 2026-09-24. Each value links the page it came from and quotes the sentence that carries it.
Every series on every bottleneck — filter, compare and download.
02Why it holds things up
The 150 mm to 200 mm transition resets everyone’s yield curve at once. Semi-insulating grade is a much smaller field than conductive SiC, and defect density is the gate.
Grade that ships · 200 mm semi-insulating 4H-SiC, micropipe density to specification.
Part of the process · Materials & tools, which takes years, per qualification to loosen once somebody decides to.
03Severity
How this is computedSum of four judged scores, each 0–3: concentration + substitution + lead time + inelasticity.Method →Code → / 12
Capacity was overbuilt for automotive; a US wafer line is being liquidated. Not binding; watch for the datacentre power story to reverse it.
04Who makes it
| Organisation | Step | Evidence | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WolfspeedWOLF US | US | Convert | Verified source ↗ |
| CoherentCOHR US | US | Convert | Verified source ↗ |
| SK Siltron CSS034730 KSvia SK Inc. | KR US | Convert | Verified source ↗ |
| Resonac4004 JP | JP | Convert | Verified source ↗ |
| SICC688234 CH | CN | Convert | Verified source ↗ |
| TankeBlueNo listing found | CN | Convert | Verified source ↗ |
05Rules that govern it
No rule has been researched for this one yet.
Policy coverage is being built jurisdiction by jurisdiction.
06What would remove it
- 200 mm silicon carbide wafersEstimate by Substrata, open to challenge, 2026-09-15: In production at several makers and expanding; the market is currently oversupplied rather than short.Estimate, not a measurementIn production at several makers and expanding; the market is currently oversupplied rather than short.By Substrata, open to challenge · 2026-09-15Supporting source → · Qualified and entering production
The larger wafer is the capacity increase: more die per boule at similar cost.
07Science pipeline
judged, with a citation claimed, no citationNumber: papers, preprints and grants the feeds collected — unreviewed
- Numerical optimization of induction coils structure for TSSG-SiC crystal growth
Fundamental research · No laboratory or pilot wording.From OpenAlex · not yet reviewedDOI
- Unraveling the defect physics of SiC micropipe sidewalls by non-line-of-sight confocal spectromicroscopy: Amphoteric giant traps
Despite substantial advances in SiC crystal growth, micropipes can still occur in thick and large-diameter SiC wafers, remaining among the most detrimental extended defects associated with device failure. However, the microscopic nature of the defects residing on their internal…
Chung Yuan Christian UniversityNational Central University
Fundamental research · No laboratory or pilot wording.From OpenAlex · not yet reviewedDOIPDF
- Tribochemical and contact-mechanical mechanisms in multi-field-assisted chemical mechanical polishing of silicon carbide substrates
Fundamental research · No laboratory or pilot wording.From OpenAlex · not yet reviewedDOI
- Investigation of Photoluminescence Black Features in 4H‐SiC Substrates
In recent years, photoluminescence (PL) black features in 4H‐SiC recorded by a surface inspection tool have plagued substrate suppliers, epitaxy and device manufacturers, as both their root causes and adverse effects remain unclear. This study shows that PL blacks correspond to…
United Silicon Carbide (United States)
Fundamental research · No laboratory or pilot wording.From OpenAlex · not yet reviewedDOI
- Influence of fixed-abrasive diamond multi-wire sawing process on the slicing quality of different types of 200 mm SiC crystal ingots
Fundamental research · No laboratory or pilot wording.From OpenAlex · not yet reviewedDOI
08What we have predicted
- 2026-09-15open until 2028-01-31
Silicon carbide substrates will not become a binding constraint before 2028: no sustained shortage, and at least one more Western capacity retrenchment.
Settled by · Absence of reported allocation or lead-time extension for 150 mm or 200 mm SiC substrates through 2027, plus at least one further announced closure, sale or capacity cut by a Western maker.
09Who could fund relief
Is funding the constraint? · Money is not the constraint
Capacity was built ahead of demand that did not arrive, and a maker has been through Chapter 11. More money would make the oversupply worse.
A mandate covering the kind of asset that would relieve this row. Not a claim that anyone has funded one, and not advice.
10What has happened
- 2026-07-17TightensCapacityUS KR
SK Siltron is liquidating SK Siltron CSS, its US silicon carbide wafer subsidiary, by year end.
WhoSK Siltron
thelec.net ↗official source
The sentence that says so
“SK Siltron is proceeding with the liquidation of SK Siltron CSS, its SiC wafer manufacturing subsidiary located in Michigan. The process is expected to be completed by the end of this year.”
- 2025-12-03LoosensCapacityUS
Coherent adds 300 mm capability to its silicon carbide platform, citing AI and datacentre power demand.
WhoCoherent
coherent.com ↗official source
The sentence that says so
“Coherent expands silicon carbide platform with 300mm capability to support growing demand of AI and datacenters.”
- 2024-03-26LoosensCapacityUS
Wolfspeed tops out its $5bn silicon carbide materials plant in Siler City, built for 200 mm wafers.
WhoWolfspeed
wolfspeed.com ↗official source
The sentence that says so
“Wolfspeed currently produces more than 60% of the world’s silicon carbide materials at its Durham, N.C. headquarters, and is engaged in a $6.5 billion capacity expansion effort to dramatically increase production.”
11What this holds up
- Materials qualificationone turn: Years
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15
- Circuit boardsone turn: One to two weeks
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15
A loop is one design, build and measure turn. Severity is a dated judgement on a 0–12 scale, not a measurement, and the judgements are not added together — the figure shown is the worst single one.
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