Refining & separation · United Kingdom, United States of America, Germany
Linde
LIN US Work there, own it, buy from it ↓
Industrial and electronic gases — holds How this is computedCount of bottlenecks on which this organisation is recorded as a producer, a holder of the capacity, or a supplier of a critical part.Method →Code → of the How this is computedCount of rows in the bottleneck corpus: every material plus every non-material chokepoint.Method →Code → bottlenecks tracked here.
Why graded so · Noble gases come from air separation attached to heavy industry, which limits where they can come from at all.
Role cited from gulf-times.com ↗. The grade is this project’s judgement. Report an error
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01Chokepoints it holds
- Liquid helium (He-4)Estimate by Substrata, 2026-09-15: concentration 2 + substitution 3 + lead time 2 + inelasticity 3 = 10 of 12. Qatar, the US and Russia; no substitute below 4 K. Recurring shortages, currently eased by new Qatari trains.Estimate, not a measurementconcentration 2 + substitution 3 + lead time 2 + inelasticity 3 = 10 of 12. Qatar, the US and Russia; no substitute below 4 K. Recurring shortages, currently eased by new Qatari trains.By Substrata · 2026-09-15Supporting source →/122+3+2+3
Refine · Within two years
Other makers: QatarEnergy QA, ExxonMobil US, Gazprom RU, Air Products US, Air Liquide FR
- Neon, excimer laser gradeEstimate by Substrata, 2026-09-15: concentration 2 + substitution 3 + lead time 2 + inelasticity 3 = 10 of 12. 2022 showed the map: separation rides on steelmaking and half of it sat in Ukraine. Recycling eased it; another shock would not be absorbed.Estimate, not a measurementconcentration 2 + substitution 3 + lead time 2 + inelasticity 3 = 10 of 12. 2022 showed the map: separation rides on steelmaking and half of it sat in Ukraine. Recycling eased it; another shock would not be absorbed.By Substrata · 2026-09-15Supporting source →/122+3+2+3
Refine · Within two years
Other makers: Air Liquide FR, Messer DE, Iceblick UA, Cryoin Engineering UA, Baosteel Gases CN
Score = concentration + substitution + lead time + inelasticity, each 0–3, an analyst judgement dated 2026-09-15; open a score for its rationale and assessment. Makers are those the corpus records, not the whole market. No market-share figure is sourced, so none is shown.
02What has happened
About what it holds, not naming Linde
- 2026-03-18Liquid helium (He-4)
The war that began in Iran in February triggers a helium shortage that could slow chip production. dw.com ↗
- 2022-11-10Neon, excimer laser grade
TSMC moves to build a neon supply chain in Taiwan after the war in Ukraine cut global supply. tomshardware.com ↗
03Unread leads
Reasons for worldwide helium shortage qd-europe.com ↗
Changelog Jul 31, 2026 - Neon neon.com ↗
Helium Shortage 2026: Impact on NMR & MRI Labs haeberle-lab.de ↗
NEON: License revenue rose 9.2% and MultiSensing revenue surged, despite a 20.4% drop in total Q2 revenue tradingview.com ↗
Changelog Jun 19, 2026 - Neon neon.com ↗
How Neon's lakebase architecture stays resilient to cloud failures neon.com ↗
Pages the sweep found on these chokepoints. Nobody here has read them yet; they are not events and not evidence.
04What could loosen its grip
- On-site neon recycling and separationreadiness
Capturing and re-purifying the rare gas a chip factory uses, instead of buying it fresh from an air separation plant.
Science · for Neon, excimer laser grade
Estimate by Substrata, 2026-09-15: Prototype at meaningful scale. Scored 8 here until the source was read. Two years after the shortage, a leading memory maker was still calling its own system an industry first, recovering 72.7% with 77% as a target — which is a working pilot at one firm, not an industry that has adopted it.Estimate, not a measurementPrototype at meaningful scale. Scored 8 here until the source was read. Two years after the shortage, a leading memory maker was still calling its own system an industry first, recovering 72.7% with 77% as a target — which is a working pilot at one firm, not an industry that has adopted it.By Substrata · 2026-09-15Supporting source →/9 Any other coolant, below about 4 K
none known · Physics — no alternative exists
Substitute · for Liquid helium (He-4) · pubs.usgs.gov ↗
High-temperature superconducting magnets that run warmer
demonstrated, not qualified · Qualification — proving it for this use takes years
Substitute · for Liquid helium (He-4) · pubs.usgs.gov ↗
Readiness is the 1–9 technology-readiness scale, a dated judgement; open a figure for the reasoning and its source.
05SEC filings
- SEC 10-Q31 JulQuarterly report ↗
- SEC 8-K31 JulResults of operations ↗
- SEC 8-K30 JulShareholder vote ↗
The company’s own filings, from SEC EDGAR, fetched hourly. Substrata has not judged their effect on any bottleneck.
06Others at the same step of the chain
- Wacker ChemieElectronic-grade polysiliconChokepoint
- Hemlock SemiconductorElectronic-grade polysiliconChokepoint
- TokuyamaElectronic-grade polysiliconChokepoint
- OCIPolysiliconConcentrated
- China Northern Rare EarthRare-earth separationChokepoint
- Shenghe ResourcesRare-earth separation and tradingChokepoint
- ChalcoGallium from alumina refiningChokepoint
- HeraeusPrecious-metal refiningConcentrated
- Johnson MattheyPGM refiningConcentrated
- UmicorePGM refining and recyclingConcentrated
- Air LiquideIndustrial and electronic gasesConcentrated
- Air ProductsIndustrial gases and heliumConcentrated
- IceblickNeon and rare gasesConcentrated
- 5N PlusHigh-purity specialty metalsConcentrated
07Ways to take part
Not investment advice. This says how the public can reach a company — a job, its shares, its products — not whether anyone should. It takes no account of anyone’s circumstances, and a company holding a chokepoint is not a reason to own it. What this is not
- Work there
- It publishes its roles on its own careers page.Official careers page ↗
- Own part of it
- Its shares trade publicly as LIN US, bought and sold through a broker that reaches that exchange.LIN US listing record ↗Its SEC filings
- Buy from it
- What it does in the chain: Industrial and electronic gases. At this depth of the chain most sales are to other businesses, under contract. Its own page describes what it offers.Its own page ↗
08Hiring
Its roles are published on its own site, which Substrata links rather than reads. Official careers page ↗
09What this holds up
- Energyone turn: Months to years
makes Liquid helium (He-4), which gates it.
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15 · this join is sourced
- Materials qualificationone turn: Years
makes Liquid helium (He-4), which gates it.
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15 · this join is sourced
- Siliconone turn: Months
makes Neon, excimer laser grade, which gates it.
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15 · this join is sourced
- Materials qualificationone turn: Years
makes Neon, excimer laser grade, which gates it.
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15 · this join is sourced
A loop is one design, build and measure turn. Severity is a dated judgement on a 0–12 scale, not a measurement, and the judgements are not added together — the figure shown is the worst single one.
10Sources
- gulf-times.com ↗ — its role in the chain: Industrial and electronic gases; Liquid helium (He-4): refine
- linde-gas.de ↗ — Neon, excimer laser grade: refine
Discussion
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