Equipment & consumables · Netherlands
ASML
ASML NAASML US Work there, own it, buy from it ↓
EUV and DUV lithography systems — holds How this is computedCount of bottlenecks on which this organisation is recorded as a producer, a holder of the capacity, or a supplier of a critical part.Method →Code → of the How this is computedCount of rows in the bottleneck corpus: every material plus every non-material chokepoint.Method →Code → bottlenecks tracked here, and is the only maker recorded for EUV lithography scanners.
Why graded so · One company on earth builds EUV, its order backlog is measured in tens of billions of euros, and no second source is in progress.
Role cited from asml.com ↗. The grade is this project’s judgement. Report an error
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01Chokepoints it holds
- EUV lithography scannersEstimate by Substrata, 2026-09-15: concentration 3 + substitution 3 + lead time 3 + inelasticity 3 = 12 of 12. One maker, a backlog in the tens of billions of euros, no second source in progress. The definition of a chokepoint.Estimate, not a measurementconcentration 3 + substitution 3 + lead time 3 + inelasticity 3 = 12 of 12. One maker, a backlog in the tens of billions of euros, no second source in progress. The definition of a chokepoint.By Substrata · 2026-09-15Supporting source →/123+3+3+3
Makes it · Binding now
No other maker recorded.
Critical parts from Carl Zeiss SMT DE, Trumpf DE
Score = concentration + substitution + lead time + inelasticity, each 0–3, an analyst judgement dated 2026-09-15; open a score for its rationale and assessment. Makers are those the corpus records, not the whole market. No market-share figure is sourced, so none is shown.
02What has happened
- 2026-04-15LoosensCapacityNL
ASML plans to ship more than 60 EUV scanners in 2026, high-NA and low-NA together, on memory demand.
WhoASML
techpowerup.com ↗official source
The sentence that says so
“In the latest Q1 2026 quarterly figures, ASML announced plans to ship over 60 EUV units this year, including both High-NA and Low-NA EUV lithography scanners.”
03Unread leads
Bank of America Research Analysis: ASML’s Bet on Pricing Power Lands, 5% Price Increase Boosts Earnings by 8% techflowpost.com ↗
ASML Sales Concentrated on Asia, Europe Inflation and US Spending Support Dollar, First Quantum’s Mine To Restart. fullertreacymoney.substack.com ↗
ASML says it sold 'absolutely nothing' in Europe in 2026 finance.yahoo.com ↗
ASML Spotlight — EUV Monopoly, High-NA, Zeiss Optics & Export Controls semiconductorx.com ↗
2026 Semiconductor Fab Construction Timeline & Capacity Analysis supplyics.com ↗
Pages the sweep found on these chokepoints. Nobody here has read them yet; they are not events and not evidence.
04What could loosen its grip
- Nanoimprint lithographyreadiness
Printing chip patterns by pressing a patterned mask into resist like a stamp, instead of projecting an image through lenses and mirrors.
Science · for EUV lithography scanners
Estimate by Substrata, 2026-09-18: Prototype at meaningful scale. Canon commercialised the FPA-1200NZ2C in October 2023 and shipped one to the Texas Institute for Electronics in 2024, at 14 nm minimum linewidth — equivalent to a 5 nm node. That is a real machine doing real patterning, but not volume logic production: throughput, defectivity and the supply of 1:1 imprint masks are the open questions, and a stamp touching the wafer fails differently from light.Estimate, not a measurementPrototype at meaningful scale. Canon commercialised the FPA-1200NZ2C in October 2023 and shipped one to the Texas Institute for Electronics in 2024, at 14 nm minimum linewidth — equivalent to a 5 nm node. That is a real machine doing real patterning, but not volume logic production: throughput, defectivity and the supply of 1:1 imprint masks are the open questions, and a stamp touching the wafer fails differently from light.By Substrata · 2026-09-18Supporting source →/9
Readiness is the 1–9 technology-readiness scale, a dated judgement; open a figure for the reasoning and its source.
05SEC filings
- SEC 6-K3h agoForeign issuer report ↗
- SEC 6-K15 JulForeign issuer report ↗
The company’s own filings, from SEC EDGAR, fetched hourly. Substrata has not judged their effect on any bottleneck.
06Others at the same step of the chain
- Carl Zeiss SMTEUV projection opticsChokepoint
- TrumpfEUV plasma-source lasersChokepoint
- Applied MaterialsDeposition, etch and process toolsConcentrated
- Lam ResearchEtch and depositionConcentrated
- Tokyo ElectronCoaters, developers, etchConcentrated
- KLAProcess control and metrologyConcentrated
- ASM InternationalAtomic layer depositionConcentrated
- JSRPhotoresistsChokepoint
- Tokyo Ohka KogyoPhotoresists and process chemicalsChokepoint
- Shin-Etsu ChemicalPhotoresists, masks and siliconesChokepoint
- NikonLithography systemsCompetitive
- CanonLithography and nanoimprintCompetitive
07Ways to take part
Not investment advice. This says how the public can reach a company — a job, its shares, its products — not whether anyone should. It takes no account of anyone’s circumstances, and a company holding a chokepoint is not a reason to own it. What this is not
- Work there
- It publishes its roles on its own careers page.Official careers page ↗
- Own part of it
- Its shares trade publicly as ASML NA and ASML US, bought and sold through a broker that reaches that exchange.ASML NA listing record ↗ASML US listing record ↗Its SEC filings
- Buy from it
- What it does in the chain: EUV and DUV lithography systems. At this depth of the chain most sales are to other businesses, under contract. Its own page describes what it offers.Its own page ↗
08Hiring
Its roles are published on its own site, which Substrata links rather than reads. Official careers page ↗
09What this holds up
- Siliconone turn: Months
makes EUV lithography scanners, which gates it.
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15 · this join is sourced
A loop is one design, build and measure turn. Severity is a dated judgement on a 0–12 scale, not a measurement, and the judgements are not added together — the figure shown is the worst single one.
10Sources
- asml.com ↗ — its role in the chain: EUV and DUV lithography systems; EUV lithography scanners: makes it
- techpowerup.com ↗ — event, 2026-04-15: ASML plans to ship more than 60 EUV scanners in 2026, high-NA and low-NA together, on memory demand.
Discussion
Comments use threadkit (permission is participation). Sign in with OrangeCat to write. Fact-check is the same assistant as Ask, grounded in the corpus.
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