Fabrication · United States of America, Ireland, Israel
Intel Foundry
INTC USvia Intel Work there, own it, buy from it ↓
Leading-edge foundry — holds How this is computedCount of bottlenecks on which this organisation is recorded as a producer, a holder of the capacity, or a supplier of a critical part.Method →Code → of the How this is computedCount of rows in the bottleneck corpus: every material plus every non-material chokepoint.Method →Code → bottlenecks tracked here.
Why graded so · The main non-Asian leading-edge option, and the reason several policy programmes exist.
Role cited from intel.com ↗. The grade is this project’s judgement. Report an error
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01Chokepoints it holds
- Leading-edge foundry capacityEstimate by Substrata, 2026-09-15: concentration 3 + substitution 2 + lead time 3 + inelasticity 3 = 11 of 12. A handful of fabs at the newest node; new capacity costs tens of billions of dollars a year.Estimate, not a measurementconcentration 3 + substitution 2 + lead time 3 + inelasticity 3 = 11 of 12. A handful of fabs at the newest node; new capacity costs tens of billions of dollars a year.By Substrata · 2026-09-15Supporting source →/123+2+3+3
Runs the capacity · Binding now
Other makers: TSMC TW, Samsung Foundry KR
Score = concentration + substitution + lead time + inelasticity, each 0–3, an analyst judgement dated 2026-09-15; open a score for its rationale and assessment. Makers are those the corpus records, not the whole market. No market-share figure is sourced, so none is shown.
02What has happened
About what it holds, not naming Intel Foundry
- 2026-07-30Leading-edge foundry capacity
Samsung brings its first Taylor, Texas fab online and will start a second by year end, warning the shortage runs to 2028. koreaherald.com ↗
03Unread leads
KLAC's Backlog Surges on AI Demand: Can It Outpace AMAT & ASML? theglobeandmail.com ↗
Leading-edge foundry roadmaps for TSMC, Intel and Samsung tomshardware.com ↗
Lam Research Sees Sold-Out Chip Demand, Targets Capacity and AI Service Gains es.tradingview.com ↗
Samsung bets on Texas expansion as memory shortage stretches into 2028 koreaherald.com ↗
Pages the sweep found on these chokepoints. Nobody here has read them yet; they are not events and not evidence.
04What could loosen its grip
- High-numerical-aperture EUVreadiness
The next generation of the machine that prints chip patterns, with larger optics that resolve finer features in one pass.
Science · for Leading-edge foundry capacity
Estimate by Substrata, 2026-09-15: Qualified and entering production. Past development: ASML says Intel Foundry entered high-volume manufacturing on High-NA-patterned layers in 2026, at yields matching the previous generation. This row said "not yet volume production" until the source was read.Estimate, not a measurementQualified and entering production. Past development: ASML says Intel Foundry entered high-volume manufacturing on High-NA-patterned layers in 2026, at yields matching the previous generation. This row said "not yet volume production" until the source was read.By Substrata · 2026-09-15Supporting source →/9
Readiness is the 1–9 technology-readiness scale, a dated judgement; open a figure for the reasoning and its source.
05SEC filings
- SEC 8-K12 AugRegulation FD disclosure; Other events ↗
- SEC 10-Q23 JulQuarterly report ↗
- SEC 8-K23 JulResults of operations ↗
The company’s own filings, from SEC EDGAR, fetched hourly. Substrata has not judged their effect on any bottleneck.
06Others at the same step of the chain
- TSMCLeading-edge foundryChokepoint
- Samsung FoundryLeading-edge foundry and memoryConcentrated
- SMICFoundryConcentrated
- GlobalFoundriesMature and specialty nodesCompetitive
- UMCMature-node foundryCompetitive
07Ways to take part
Not investment advice. This says how the public can reach a company — a job, its shares, its products — not whether anyone should. It takes no account of anyone’s circumstances, and a company holding a chokepoint is not a reason to own it. What this is not
- Work there
- It publishes its roles on its own careers page.Official careers page ↗
- Own part of it
- Not listed on its own: it is part of Intel, whose shares trade publicly as INTC US. Owning those is owning the whole group, of which this is one part.INTC US listing record ↗Its SEC filings
- Buy from it
- What it does in the chain: Leading-edge foundry. At this depth of the chain most sales are to other businesses, under contract. Its own page describes what it offers.Its own page ↗
08Hiring
Its roles are published on its own site, which Substrata links rather than reads. Official careers page ↗
09What this holds up
- Software scaffoldone turn: Minutes
makes Leading-edge foundry capacity, which gates it.
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15 · this join is sourced
- Firmware and programmable logicone turn: Minutes to hours
makes Leading-edge foundry capacity, which gates it.
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15 · this join is sourced
- Frontier training runone turn: Weeks to months
makes Leading-edge foundry capacity, which gates it.
Worst judgement on this loop: How this is computedThe highest severity score among the bottlenecks recorded as gates on the loop.Method →Code →, judged 2026-09-15 · this join is sourced
A loop is one design, build and measure turn. Severity is a dated judgement on a 0–12 scale, not a measurement, and the judgements are not added together — the figure shown is the worst single one.
10Sources
- intel.com ↗ — its role in the chain: Leading-edge foundry; Leading-edge foundry capacity: runs the capacity
Discussion
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